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  • 교수진안내

교수진

교수진안내

  • 부교수 거시경제, 국제금융, 빅데이터 분석
  • 조두연

관심분야

Macroeconomics, International Finance, Big Data Analytics

학력

  • Ph.D. in Economics, Michigan State University
  • M.S. in Applied Statistics, Michigan State University
  • M.A. in Economics, Michigan State University
  • B.A. in Economics, Yonsei University

약력/경력

  • 2013–2015. Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Kookmin University
  • 2012–2013, Associate Research Fellow, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy (KIEP)

학술지 논문

  • (2023)  Government Debt and Fiscal Multipliers in the Era of Population Aging.  MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS. 
  • (2023)  Reassessing growth vulnerability.  JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS. 
  • (2023)  Determinants of Market-assessed Sovereign Default Risk: Macroeconomic Fundamentals or Global Shocks?.  INTERNATIONAL FINANCE. 
  • (2023)  Effects of monetary policy uncertainty on debt financing: Evidence from Korean heterogeneous firms.  JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE.  139, 
  • (2023)  Dynamic Spillovers of Economic Policy Uncertainty Across the US, Europe, and East Asia.  GLOBAL ECONOMIC REVIEW.  52,  3
  • (2022)  Approximating long-memory processes with low-order autoregressions: Implications for modeling realized volatility.  EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS. 
  • (2022)  Macroeconomic effects of uncertainty shocks: Evidence from Korea.  JOURNAL OF ASIAN ECONOMICS.  84,  1
  • (2022)  Combining Long and Short Memory in Time Series Models: the Role of Asymptotic Correlations of the MLEs.  Econometrics and Statistics. 
  • (2022)  Population aging and fiscal sustainability: Nonlinear evidence from Europe.  JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE.  126,  1
  • (2021)  On asymmetric volatility effects in currency markets.  EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS.  62,  5
  • (2021)  The tail behavior of safe haven currencies: A cross-quantilogram analysis.  JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS MONEY. 
  • (2021)  On the predictability of the distribution of excess returns in currency markets.  INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING.  37,  2
  • (2020)  Measuring the time-varying effects of fiscal policy on private saving in the process of financial integration.  REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS.  28,  1
  • (2019)  Time variation in the persistence of unemployment over the past century.  ECONOMICS LETTERS.  182, 
  • (2019)  Long Memory, Realized Volatility and Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models.  JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS.  40,  4
  • (2019)  Carry trades and endogenous regime switches in exchange rate volatility.  JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS MONEY.  58,  1
  • (2019)  Can structural changes in the persistence of the forward premium explain the forward premium anomaly?.  JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS INSTITUTIONS MONEY.  58, 
  • (2014)  Time Variation in the Standard Forward Premium Regression: Some New Models and Tests.  JOURNAL OF EMPIRICAL FINANCE.  29,  1
  • (2014)  Trade Intensity and Purchasing Power Parity.  JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS.  93,  1
  • (2013)  Business Cycle Accounting East and West: Asian Finance and the Investment Wedge.  REVIEW OF ECONOMIC DYNAMICS.  16,  4

수상/공훈

  • Research Grant, The National Research Foundation of Korea, 2023–2024
  • Sungkyun Research Fund, Sungkyunkwan University, 2020-2021
  • Excellent Article Award, The National Research Foundation of Korea, 2015
  • Research Grant, The National Research Foundation of Korea, 2014–2015
  • New Faculty Research Grant, Kookmin University, 2013
  • Graduate Assistantship, Michigan State University, 2005–2011

학술회의논문

  • (2023)  Effects of nonverbal policy communications on the crude oil market: The role of economic policy uncertainty.  33rd Annual Meeting of the Midwest Econometrics Group.  미국
  • (2023)  Government debt and fiscal multipliers in the era of population aging.  2023 European Economics and Finance Society 20th Annual Conference.  독일
  • (2023)  Government debt and fiscal multipliers in the era of population aging.  2023 Western Economic Association 17th International Conference.  오스트레일리아
  • (2022)  Government Debt and Fiscal Multipliers in the Era of Population Aging.  Midwest Econometrics Group (MEG) 2022 Conference.  미국
  • (2022)  Government Debt and Fiscal Multipliers in the Era of Population Aging.  Korean Economic Association 70th Anniversary International Conference.  대한민국
  • (2021)  Inflation targeting under commitment or discretion: does an improvement in macroeconomic conditions matter?.  26th International Panel Data Conference.  EU연합
  • (2019)  On the Predictability of the Distribution of Excess Returns in Currency Markets.  한국국제경제학회 동계학술대회.  대한민국
  • (2019)  On the Predictability of the Distribution of Excess Returns in Currency Markets.  Midwest Econometrics Group 29th Annual Meeting.  미국
  • (2019)  The Tail Behavior of Safe Haven Currencies: A Cross-Quantilogram Analysis.  Sixth Annual Conference of the International Association for Applied Econometrics.  사이프러스
  • (2018)  On the Predictability of the Distribution of Excess Returns in Currency Markets.  Southern Economic Association 88th Annual Meetings.  미국
  • (2017)  On Asymmetric Volatility Effects in Currency Markets.  2017 40th International Panel Data Conference (IPDC).  그리스
  • (2017)  Can Structural Changes in the Persistence of the Forward Premium Explain the Forward Premium Anomaly?.  한국국제금융학회.  대한민국
  • (2016)  Reinvestigating the Persistence of the Forward Premium in the Joint Presence of Nonlinearity, Asymmetry, and Structural Changes.  Southern Economic Association 86th Annual Meeting.  미국
  • (2016)  Carry Trade Returns and Predicting Global Foreign Exchange Volatility in a Nonlinear Long Memory Framework.  한국국제금융학회.  대한민국
  • (2015)  Uncovered Interest Parity, Covered Interest Arbitrage, and Funding Liquidity Constraints.  Southern Economic Association 85th Annual Meeting.  미국